Global Market Reviews

When you are looking around for a house to buy, the cost of home insurance is not always the most important thought on your mind. Even if you do think about it, the most common consideration is the state of repair and how easy it would be to repair or rebuild should there be a fire. This confidence continues when buying the insurance policy. You sign up for an all-perils policy and take the words at face value. If you are insured against all perils, that surely means you can sleep peacefully at night. Except that confidence is too often misplaced. Looking around the US right now, it’s one of the coldest winters on record with heavier snow fall than usual. When the weather warms, the melting snow will flood into the rivers… That’s a joy to come. So let’s list the most common events that damage your home: landslides, subsidence, floods, hurricanes and tornadoes. Live in the wrong states and we add earthquakes. Now take out your policy and check that exclusion clause. You will see some mysterious phrases like “surface water”. That excludes every possible source of water no matter whether it comes in as a high tide, wind surge, rain or local sewage drains backing up. When you add up everything not included, even the top-of-the-range policies from the supposedly best insurers often end up as covering rebuilding costs from fire and wind only – that’s wind and not tornadoes or hurricanes.

To protect yourself, you need to start early in the buying process. Start with simple questions: has there been any accidents in this area? Is there a heavy clay content in the soil? Is this an earthquake zone? If the answer to any of these questions is yes, you should get a geology report before going any further. Mining subsidence is a real problem in some areas. Soil that expands when wet and contracts when dry can wreck the foundations of your home – the Department of Agriculture estimates that up to 25% of properties in the US are at risk of damage. We all know about earthquakes. If your proposed property is on a slope, what’s the risk of a landslide or rock fall? When we move on to flood risks, every community is at risk – check out the addresses of potential properties through http://www.floodsmart.gov/ which is run by Homeland Security’s FEMA. It also gives you estimates of the likely premiums for areas at higher risk. Read the rest of this entry »

Stop thinking about global warming. The real danger is climate change. So, to prove the point, 2010 has started off with some of the coldest weather we’ve seen for decades. For example, look at Florida. Miami sets a new records for cold. The last time South Florida saw snow was in 1977. And what was true for the South proved equally true the further North you moved. This had an interesting effect on fuel prices. Natural gas was suddenly more expensive and homes with heating systems using oil got a nasty shock. It’s the old story of supply and demand and, guess what, the price of crude oil was lifting gently past $80 per barrel.

So, if the natural gas supplies were under pressure and everyone wanted to stay warm, the refineries switched more production away from gas for vehicles. The result? We’re back up to $3 a gallon for premium-grade gas and the national average for unleaded is creeping up to $2.88. The economists who predict what’s going to happen to the commodities markets over the next six months are predicting the price of gas will keep on rising. Unleaded will soon tip the $3 mark. If we’re lucky, we won’t get back up to the $4 we enjoyed in 2008. We managed to get through that because it was before the recession hit and the credit crunch took away our easy money. Now the credit limits have been downsized and housing equity plans have dried up, there’s no slack left in the household budgets if all the fuel prices stay high.

In “Something’s gotta give”, Mary J. Blige captures the spirit of the current problem: “But it’s a million dollars a gallon for gas to get to work tomorrow. . . can’t swim and carpool, you rob Peter to pay Paul to make due”. With everyone still having to get to work and get everything else done, a vehicle is essential for most families. So you take the decision to keep the old car longer. Hopefully, it won’t cost too much to repair if it breaks down. That saves a monthly instalment on a loan. The only way of balancing the books on running costs if gas prices keep rising is to save money on the insurance. Read the rest of this entry »

The New Year has come in with icy weather. Even Florida has been enjoying a little cool air – not so good for the oranges, of course. Natural gas prices have been rising so, where this is the source of heat, household budgets are under pressure. The law of supply and demand has kicked in with crude oil back above $80 a barrel. During the warmer months, the refineries focus on gas to keep us on the move. But as Fall turns into Winter, the need is for oil to keep us warm. This year, the cold spell is forcing the refineries to increase the focus on heating the home. At the pumps, the $3 gallon for premium-grade gas is here again. It’s around $2.70 for unleaded. The prices are higher this week than at any time during 2009. And the bad news is set to continue. The economists are saying the commodity prices are going to keep rising. If unleaded hits $3 a gallon, this could be a real tipping point for us all. Sure this is still less than the highs of the $4 gallon we saw in 2008. But the recession has been biting us hard. More of us have been cutting down on spending and paying down the debts. As the costs of basic household necessities rises, priorities change. Just think how much we buy in the stores comes in a truck that burns gas. If gas gets more expensive, those stores will pass on the additional shipping costs to us. That means less retail therapy. If we buy less, we don’t need the same manufacturing capacity. More jobs are at risk. The risk of a double-dip recession is all too real.

In the face of all this economic doom and gloom, we are left to make the best of how we live our lives. Those of us out in the boondocks of the exurbs are caught in the need to commute everywhere for most of what we need. Sure, the houses look pretty come the Spring sunshine, but where do we work? Where are the schools and shops? Even living in the suburbs is getting more difficult as owners give up the unequal struggle and shutter their stores. Trying to survive without a vehicle is only really possible in the cities where public transport manages to offer a basic service to key points around the central area. Even where commuting distances are short, the greenest of environmentalists is disheartened by the statistics showing the number of cyclists mown down by drivers. Where he still alive, Darwin would note the failure of the two-wheeled species to survive. Read the rest of this entry »